Weather.com's Forecasting

When you go and look for your local weather on weather.com it will give you today's forecast  and tomorrows forecast in detail.  Then you try and look at the long term pattern or more than 5 days out, it's inaccurate.  It's like their afraid of taking the risk and go out on a limb to give their opinion on an upcoming storm system instead of waiting 2 or 3 days out when they have a good handle on things and have a higher probability of getting the forecast right.  Wheres the risk in that though?  I think that they should take risks and blog and post articles before 2 or 3 days out for a given storm or front would make more people refer to it.

As for the weather affecting the East, the next storm system will move in Wednesday bring more rain to a majority of the East Coast and that will continue into Thursday as well, adding on to the mass rain we have already received.  This will creating more flooding problems as well so watch for your local weather alerts.

Active Severe Weather Season Ahead for Many

According to AccuWeather.com forecast for Spring 2011 calls for more wild weather for the U.S. The biggest concerns center around expectations of an active severe weather season, the spreading of a severe drought and a high wildfire danger, and, as always, threats for flooding.  Paul Pastelok, leader of the AccuWeather.com Long-Range Forecasting Team, warned that this spring's severe weather season will be more active than normal, meaning there could be a higher-than-average number of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in the eastern part of the country.  He is also concerned about abnormally dry and warm conditions worsening a drought on the Plains and bringing a major hit to cotton growers in Texas and wheat growers in sections of the southern Plains.

Note that while temperatures are expected to average near or slightly below normal in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic, this spring will feel much cooler as compared to last year, when the regions experienced record warmth in March and April.  These conditions will also bring about a high danger of wildfires from the southern Plains into the interior Southwest. More than 88,000 acres of land in western Texas were scorched just this past weekend as wildfires ignited in response to hot, dry conditions already surfacing.  As is the case every year, the big concern for people across the northern tier of the nation will be flooding with melting snow and spring storms bringing more snow and rain. This area will also lie in the path of more cold shots into April.

Severe Weather Season More Active than Normal

The zone of greatest concern for above-normal severe thunderstorm activity this spring, according to Pastelok, lies from Arkansas and Missouri into Tennessee and Kentucky, areas that have been targeted already by several severe outbreaks the last week of February.  He added that this zone could shift north-northeastward into Ohio, Indiana and Illinois later in the spring.  The factors pointing to increased severe weather activity in this zone include clashes that will take place between warm air across the southern tier of the nation and colder air to the north. A major player will also be the presence of moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, which is expected to be drawn most frequently into this zone.  An expected lack of Gulf moisture getting farther west into the areas of Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas that are typically more prone to tornadoes and severe weather is why these states are not included in this main zone of concern for a severe weather season that is more active than normal.  That is not to say parts of Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas will not be hit with severe weather this spring. It just means that severe weather outbreaks may not be as frequent as in areas farther east.

Severe Weather moves East

 I believe there will be severe weather from Virginia to North Carolina. The low will track along of the Appalachians and that will bring rain to much of the Mid-Atlantic.  Severe storms should develop ahead of the cold front with wind damage being the main threat, although a few tornadoes can spin-up along the line of storms.  The farther south you go the the severe possibilities with these storms will increase.

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